Saturday, May 09, 2020

Changing The Tide


I have been writing lately that COVID-19 provides us with an opportunity to send Ronald Reagan's aphorism -- "Government's not the solution, it's the problem" -- to the dustbin. Glen Pearson believes that the crisis may do just that:

Seriously, if wasn’t for the various stimulus efforts, nations would be on their knees, not just confined to their dwellings.  The various investments from federal, provincial and local governments have kept us from devastation and public turmoil.  Yet it was only two months ago that so many commentators and others were informing us every day that government was the problem and that less of it was the solution.  This pandemic would look totally different right now if they had won out.
And we are discovering that our communities really matter, that our neighbours are more than just people who live around us, and that bravery is sometimes the ability to do nothing in order to put fewer people in danger.  In fact, it has proved essential.  Did we know that before?  I doubt it, but we do now and in its own way it has proved liberating.  We are actually respecting one another and citizenship is now about respecting social distancing.  It’s something all of us can do and we are proving adept and capable of handling it.  It’s impressive.

The changing perspective is impressive. Our healthcare system is at the core of the shift:

We are in the process of discovering just how fragile our health is and how pivotal our health systems are to our survival.  This is no longer a theory postulated by some, but a renewed creed for any society that wishes to endure into the future.  We are now learning that we weren’t investing enough into our health systems previously and it’s likely we will wish to correct that once Covid-19 has passed.  There is nothing wrong with learning that lesson.  It’s a plus.
And we are getting new lessons in leadership.  Many of those pining for better leadership in the past are now strangely silent, while others have stepped forward in remarkably unexpected ways.  They are reaching out to the vulnerable, respecting the need for distance, listening to health authorities and political leaders, rediscovering solitude in ways that are energizing.  And they are committing themselves to public displays of respect for frontline and essential workers.
And those institutions many spent their online space denouncing have shown up with capacity just as we needed them – not just governments, but non-profits, charities, foundations, research institutes, businesses large and small, media outlets, service clubs and faith groups, education centres and civil servants.  While the critics have grown silent in their ineffectiveness, these groups have come forward in their duty and their dedication to the job.

But that shifting perspective is tenuous:

There is only [one] problem in all this: we might just toss it all away, like some empty container, once the crisis has passed.  To be guilty of such an oversight would be a tragedy of major proportions to democracy, for communities, for humanity, for our children. There are times when civilization gets to make a choice as to what path to take in order to progress.  This is one of those occasions.
We had permitted our politics to get separated from hegemony, economies to grow distance from average people, and companies to be about owning shares rather than investing in communities.  But it was worse.  We had also defamed one another online, failed to support local businesses, and practiced the kind of NIMBYism that Balkanizes communities.

Those who want to "get back to normal" want us to go back to the world which got us to where we are now. There are indications, however, that most of us don't think we'll go back there:

Recent Frank Graves polling provides a hopeful sign.  When asked by Graves whether they believe Canadian society will return to the status quo following the pandemic, 21.8% said yes but a full 77.2% maintained that society will be transformed instead.  When asked what that transformation would look like, almost 73% felt that society would become more focussed, stressing better health and well-being, while 27% thought Canada would become more authoritarian, stressing nationalism and security.

Time will tell. We can change the tide.

Image: You Tube


16 comments:

Toby said...

The percentage of people who want changes is a red herring. Those in power are still in power.

In the present crisis the PM is daily announcing new expenditures to aid Canadians in need. Where is all that money coming from? We can rest assured that it is not facilitated by loans from the Bank of Canada at zero percent interest. We have as Minister of Finance a banker who will be talking to the the big banks daily. Canada will be coming out of the Covid crisis with a big debt to the banks. After the next election we can expect an austerity budget to pay for it all.

In any crisis the most dangerous people are the bankers. Pay attention. Follow the money.

Trudeau is doing the right thing when he hands out money to people in need. They will spend it (because they have to) and the money will circulate. It's what Morneau will be doing off camera that we need to pay attention to.










Owen Gray said...

I agree, Toby, that we should be paying attention to what happens after Justin hands out the money.

jrkrideau said...

Government's not the solution, it's the problem

I think we have to take this in context. Given the almost infinite boondoggle south of the border, especially at the Federal level, Reagan may have had a point. But that reflects more on the USA than on “Government” in general. Countries as disparate as China and Canada have societies where people, in general, assume their government has their welfare as a major priority.

The USA assumes the 2nd Amendment to their constitution is to allow citizens to shoot at the government. This may affect how governments and the general citizenry interact.

Owen Gray said...

I take your point, jrk. The justice department's withdrawal of the case against Michael Flynn confirms that the United States is now a banana republic.

e.a.f. said...

A country can be come more concerned about nationalism and security and still not become more authoritarian. Being proud of your country and wanting to defend what is stands for is something we ought to all strive for. it about keeping our values and lives. It also means welcoming more immigrants and refugees.

The racism we are seeing directed towards people of "Asian descent" is disgusting. What many of those hurling racist comments don't seem to understand, many of these people are Canadian CITIZENS. They just aren't of European descent. We need to be more inclusive of all people regardless of their skin colour.

the rule of law in the U.S.A. is dead. if you're in a position to threaten the
Trump or you're one of his friends, you won't be going to jail any time soon. As we just saw in the U.S.A., a young black man was shot to death while jogging, by two white men. the first instinct of the judicial system was to call it justifiable homicide.

The government may be the problem in the U.S.A. because they are throwing up road blocks and ensuring their friends get the money. In other countries not so much. Western Europe has done a decent job, so did Vietnam, Taiwan, etc. its the countries which are sliding into dictatorship where government is the problem. Now its up to people to vote to keep their democracies alive and that is part of keeping your country secure and caring about your country and caring for your country is a form of nationalism. Nationalism can have two meanings, the ugly and the good. Americans have a problem because I remember the line, " my country right or wrong". Most vibrant democracies, its my country, right and if its wrong, lets fix it.

Owen Gray said...

Democracy is all about fixing what's wrong, e.a.f. When that impulse disappears, so does democracy.

The Disaffected Lib said...

I'm with E.A.F. We have somehow allowed ourselves to see nationalism and populism in one dimension. They are not. They come in two flavours, positive and negative.

Negative populism and nationalism are what manifests in today's "America First" government and Trump's base. It's fearful, angry, paranoid and xenophobic. It's based on "us v. them" politics that is constantly casting about for the next enemy, strawman, whipping boy.

Positive populism is expressed in progressivism. It's the stuff of Theodore Roosevelt's "Square Deal." It is the advancement of liberal democracy. Positive nationalism was what we experienced during Expo 67. It was pride in our country, hope for the future but never sought to diminish other countries.

How will we emerge from this pandemic? No one knows. I hope we'll come away stronger, more socially cohesive than we were at the outset because, if we do not, what will become of us when the next seismic event arrives?

Owen Gray said...

That's an important point, Mound. Populism can be an expression of our better angels or our baser instincts. Which type we choose makes all the difference.

jrkrideau said...

@Owen Grey

The justice department's withdrawal of the case against Michael Flynn confirms that the United States is now a banana republic.

That the USA is now a banana republic is pretty clear but the Flynn withdrawal situation seems less so.

I have just spent much of the morning reading some court filings on this. [Amazing what a few weeks of lock-down can do!] Flynn may have a legitimate grievance.

From what I have seen, the original case was not exactly strong. The fact that the FBI exhumed a 1779 law, the Logan Act, under which they could charge Flynn is also rather interesting though it says good things about the FBI's institutional knowledge of US law.

There is a lot of other materials about some rather questionable behaviours by his original defence team that I have not seen but they might be interesting. There seems to be allegations of malpractice but who can tell?

Crucial, I think, would be the transcripts of Flynn's conversation with the Russian ambassador to the USA, Sergey Kislyak, but I don't know if they have been released.

Assuming the US legal system is working—occasionally it seems to—Barr and company may have decided to cut the Gov'ts losses. One thing that does seem to be coming out is that Flynn was pretty dumb but that, generally, seems to be a job requirement with Trump.

I would point out that a guilty plea does not necessarily mean guilt. This is particularly true in US courts and tribunals.

Owen Gray said...

A lot will depend on what the presiding judge thinks about the case, jrk. He did not seem impressed with Flynn's behaviour.

jrkrideau said...

He did not seem impressed with Flynn's behaviour.

I would probably not be impressed either. He seems a bit nutty though not up there with John Bolton and a bit dumb (not intellectually but in terms of social intelligence).

I just do not have enough of faith in the FBI and the US legal system to discount his complaint.

As a bit of an aside, I have read the "expert" testimony of the psychologist who testified at Omar Khadr"s "whatever" in Guantanamo. My degrees are in psychology and I have lived in a Muslim country. The testimony was shockingly bad. Overall I would call the witness totally unethical, unqualified, and ignorant of the subject matters in his testimony.





Owen Gray said...

Flynn appears to have had a very checkered career, jrk. It seems to me it would not support his credibility.

jrkrideau said...

@ Owen Gray
Flynn appears to have had a very checkered career, jrk. It seems to me it would not support his credibility.

From what I remember I would not have a lot of faith in his testimony either.

I have the same or even less faith in the FBI, etc. They often seem to show a political partiality and level of competence that the old RCMP Intelligence Service (aka the barn-burners) would recognise.

I have little faith in Flynn's social intelligence either. In the hysterical atmosphere around Washington at the time, agreeing to an interview (unrecorded, I believe) with two FBI agents without a lawyer or even a witness strikes me as crazy.


At the moment, the paper trail is looking dubious enough to throw some doubt on his conviction. I am not sure that it means that he was guilty or not, just that there seems to be enough irregularities to be found just in the filings that I have read to raise some questions.

Argh, time to go pick up my new book on Baysian Statistics.



jrkrideau said...

As an addendum, one of my favourite quotes.

One of the things I have learned from reading secondary sources on historical cooking is that you should never trust a secondary source that does not include the primary, since you have no way of knowing what liberties the author may have taken in his “interpretation” of the recipe. David Friedman http://www.daviddfriedman.com/Medieval/To_Milk_an_Almond.pdf

Owen Gray said...

God knows we have our problems here, jrk. But, if anything, all of this makes me grateful that we live north of the 49th parallel.

Owen Gray said...

In these days, jrk, sources -- reliable sources -- can make the difference between life and death.