Tuesday, July 02, 2013

Recent History Is Repeating Itself



StatsCan's latest report on household income gives the lie to the Harper government's claim that it knows how to manage the nation's economy. The Huffington Post reports that:

StatsCan’s latest analysis of income trends among families of two or more people found that 2011 “was the fourth consecutive year without significant change in after-tax income.”

Over the four years from 2007 to 2011, median income for families grew a tepid 1.9 per cent, to $68,000 from $66,700. That’s a growth rate of less than 0.5 per cent per year.

What it means is that consumers -- who the Royal Bank says are the "lynch pin" of the Canadian economy -- are tapped out. RBC predicts that:

Canada will see years of economic growth below the rates seen in the U.S., as Canadian consumers start to spend more cautiously and pay down their debt.

And government cutbacks are partially responsible for the loss of family income:

Part of what appears to be keeping Canadian incomes stagnant is declining transfer payments from government. StatsCan’s data found that the median amount of money transferred from the government to families -- things such as the child tax benefit, unemployment insurance, or welfare -- fell to $6,000 in 2011 from $6,700 in 2010.

Seniors saw their median government payments drop by $600 over the year.

The reason the United States went into deep recession in 2008 was that wealth was sucked to the top of the economic pyramid, while wealth at the much wider bottom of the pyramid dried up. Canada appears to be headed down the same path.



4 comments:

Lorne said...

Of course, Owen, another factor compounding the problem is the Harper regime's slavish addiction to tax cuts. I believe the alleged economist is on record as saying more corporate tax cuts are in the offing as soon as the budget is balanced.

I doubt very much that he believes his own rhetoric about low taxation creating jobs, but his ideology is such that he will continue to deplete government sources of revenue so that he can cut transfers and other entitlements even further, justifying it by claiming the cupboard is bare.

Owen Gray said...

And, when he leaves, those whose taxes he has cut will put him on their corporate boards, Lorne.

His employment prospects are secure.

Edstock said...

"And, when he leaves" — your mission, Mr. Phelps, is to make that happen with the next election.

It's coming, and meanwhile, Stevie's Confollies will continue to alienate more Canadians as his political Einsatzgruppen deconstruct the government and the country.

Our mission is to help Mr. Phelps any way we can.

Owen Gray said...

And if we can convince him to go before 2015, Ed, the country will the better for his departure.