Monday, November 30, 2020

Difficult Times

Chrystia Freeland delivers her economic update today. Chantal Hebert writes that, for Freeland, today is an inflection point:

Monday’s long-awaited federal fiscal update will be Chrystia Freeland’s first major solo performance as finance minister. She will need to make it count as it may also be her next-to-last in this Parliament.

By all indications, the update won’t bring the curtain down on Justin Trudeau’s minority government, but it will be a dress rehearsal for a spring budget that could well lead to a general election.

The conventional wisdom is that we'll have a spring election. The Conservatives, under Erin O'Toole, are already chomping at the bit. They talk about Canada being at the end of the line for vaccines. And, with protests against public health guidance growing across the country, this could very well be our winter of discontent.

Freeland's job is to help navigate the country through this winter:

Whether the next federal campaign comes over the first half of 2021 or later, the Liberals’ re-election to government will depend in no small part on Freeland’s performance as finance minister.

To secure a mandate to shepherd Canada out of the field of relative fiscal and economic ruins left behind by the pandemic, Trudeau will need his finance minister to complement rather than replicate his political branding.

To define what would constitute success on Monday is in itself a challenge.

As they struggle with the uncertainties brought about by the pandemic, most voters are not (yet?) inclined to prosecute the government for the massive and still-mounting deficit Freeland will present them with next week.

But nor are most Canadians — notwithstanding the vocal lobbies that have been looking to the pandemic for momentum to advance their agendas — craving a major experiment in social engineering.

While the fiscal update will lead to much debate as to whether Freeland has succeeded at striking a magic balance between fiscal rectitude and policy activism, the core message many voters will be looking for next week may be whether hers is a steady hand at the wheel.

These are difficult times -- for Freeland and the country.

Image: South China Morning Post

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

When the experts are on deck yelling that we're about to hit the twin icebergs of pandemic and climate change, a steady hand at the wheel is not what's called for. An immediate signal to the engine room to cut power and a hard turn to port are better options. Steady as she goes is not going to get us out of this mess.

Cap

Owen Gray said...

True, Cap. But what worries me more these days are the conspiracy theories that have blossomed like dandelions.

Trailblazer said...

In these difficult times i would not even think about becoming government official.
To be successful the elected official would have to break down most of our historical protocols and social/political beliefs.
I doubt that there is a desire for such change in this polarised world.
Still we can but hope!

TB

Owen Gray said...

Public service these days is fraught with danger, TB. There's not much of an upside.