Wednesday, March 24, 2021

A New Flood of Refugees

Michael Harris writes that Canadians should brace themselves for a new American Civil War;

Racist politicking in America is no longer travelling incognito. And the Republican is its political arm, failing to censure outright racist statements by its politicians while methodically working to return Jim Crow vote suppression to states where Black voters might deliver defeat to its candidates.

Canadians must keep a sharp eye on developments to our south both as a warning to root out any such impulses at home, and to steer clear of the social calamity brewing in the U.S.

At the moment, the battle centers around suppressing votes -- particularly the votes of people of colour:

[Republicans] claim to be fixing a problem. But it’s one that doesn’t exist. Their so-called electoral reforms have only one purpose: smothering the Black vote that usually goes to the Democrats. The party of Lincoln has become the party of Trump and disenfranchisement.

Georgia is a prime example. Biden won and flipped the state that hadn’t voted Democrat in 30 years. It was an election that was closely examined and found to be free and fair by the state’s own Republican election officials.

One-third of Georgia’s population is Black. Biden won because of a record turnout, winning 88 per cent of the Black vote. The Democrats won the Senate because 90 per cent of the Black vote went to candidates, and now senators, Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff. If all of Georgia’s restrictive voting legislation passes, and is not struck down by the courts, it is highly unlikely those results could be repeated.

Texas is following the example of Georgia. Republicans there have adopted draconian anti-voting measures, including a ban on drive-through and outdoor voting. There are also new restrictions on dropping off completed absentee ballots. And the Texas electoral officials who used to help people through the Byzantine registration system, the deputy-registrars, have been eliminated altogether.

It is the same story in Republican-held Iowa. Gov. Kim Reynolds signed into law a bill that reduces the number of early voting days from 29 to 20 and closes polling stations an hour early on election day. Iowa officials are now banned from forwarding applications for absentee ballots unless a voter has first requested one. And unless that absentee vote is received before polls close on election day, it won’t be counted.

As reported by CNN, in 2021 alone, at least 243 bills have been put forward in 43 states that would have the effect of restricting voting. The stated reason is to protect the integrity of the voting system. Yes, and the fox circles the henhouse to guard the chickens.

If the Republicans succeed, things could get very bloody. And, as was the case during the Vietnam War, we could see a flood of American refugees.

Image: tripsavy.com

12 comments:

Anonymous said...

Canada benefitted from previous waves of American immigration, so I don't see a problem as long as they leave their guns behind.

Cap

Owen Gray said...

I agree, Cap. And I suspect the Americans who head our way won't be carrying guns.

Toby said...

Owen Gray said, " . . . I suspect the Americans who head our way won't be carrying guns."

Oh, I wouldn't bet on that.

Owen Gray said...

The truth is I really don't know, Toby. The Americans who like the gun culture will stay. I suspect the ones who don't like it will leave.

The Disaffected Lib said...

Could America descend into civil war? Chris Hedges sees some massive uprising on the horizon, comparing the US to a pot of water on the stove that will, eventually, burst into a full boil.

Most unrest doesn't lead to civil war. It's like an insurgency with added features such as a means of levying taxes and raising funds, the establishment of civil and criminal law, the holding and policing of territory and control of the population in the "liberated" areas. It's essentially the establishment of a rival state within the once unified state.

The Civil War was a clash of governments. Rebellious state governments that banded together into the Confederacy. Jefferson Davis, Robert E. Lee. Abraham Lincoln, Congress, US Grant, Wm. Tecumseh Sherman.

In today's America I don't see anybody or group with any inkling of setting up a parallel government and, if there was, would they really want to launch an armed uprising with the rabble that we saw storm the Capitol? Do they possess any armour? No. Artillery? No. Air power? Not a chance. Can they take to the field in brigade and division strength? No. So - what - then?

Let's remember this is 21st century America where everyone has squandered their privacy online. Where algorithms reveal almost all there is to know about every individual. Go back to 2015 and Cambridge Analytica. Anonymity is over. Go back further, to post 9/11 and Bush-Cheney. Think of Admiral John Poindexter and the Office of Total Information Awareness.

I don't think dissident Americans begin to rise to the stature of the Vietnamese people in the French Indo-China era. Who is their Ho Chi Minh, their Giap? Rand Paul, Jim Jordan, Ron deSantis?

No country is completely immune to civil war. But the United States isn't close to that. Domestic terrorism, sure, but even the intermediate step, insurgency, seems fanciful. America has an amazing and intricately layered national security apparatus that operates across several agencies. It's a pretty good bug swatter.

Owen Gray said...

I suspect that the surveillance state has a good idea of who the insurrectionists are, Mound. But when the enemy comes from within -- rather than from outside a nation's borders -- individual security becomes a thing of the past.

The Disaffected Lib said...

Owen, I have wondered how many Michael Flynns lurk within the ranks of America's generals. As we have seen, some take lightly their oath to the Constitution. Could they institute a coup? I just don't see it. A Latin American or Middle Eastern coup d'état seems far fetched. I think the plotters would be quickly identified and rounded up.

Owen Gray said...

Given what happened on January 6th, Mound, it appears that the real danger comes from those who wallow in conspiracy theories -- and the politicians who are willing to feed them.

Trailblazer said...

Want to know what is eating up the heart of the USA?
This is no conspiracy it is mainstream USA and Americans love to export everything.

https://www.advocate.com/commentary/2018/3/29/christian-takeover-us-military


https://www.economist.com/erasmus/2019/05/25/onward-christian-soldiers

As with a Canadian Harper or provincial Kenny government we cannot ignore the possibilities.

TB


Owen Gray said...

I agree, TB. The disease knows no borders.

The Disaffected Lib said...


Trailblazer is quite right.

Sad, But True. For more read Andrew J. Bacevich, "The New American Militarism"; Kevin Phillips, "American Theocracy"; Chris Hedges, "American Fascists"; or Kevin Kruse, "One Nation Under God." The "military-industrial complex" Eisenhower warned of before he left office has today morphed into a military-industrial-neoconservative-Christian fundamentalist-commercial warfighting (Haliburton/Blackwater, etc.) complex. When the US went for an "all-volunteer" military the door was opened to radical politics, radical Christianity, and a militarized corporate sector that rakes in huge revenues by cherry-picking roles the military once performed itself.

So far the generals, most of them anyway, remain loyal to their oath to defend the Constitution but the ground beneath their feet is shifting.

Owen Gray said...

I've read Bacevich's book, Mound. It's excellent. He's a product of the American military. And he clearly sees what's gone wrong.